Chronicle

Chronicle

Every dated event on the line, newest first. Filter by branch or milestone.

2027-12-02
Rules of the game
Annex III delayed

Stand-alone high-risk systems — hiring, scoring, biometrics, justice, borders — moved from August 2026 to December 2027.

2026-12-02
Rules of the game
New prohibitions

Systems generating intimate imagery of an identifiable person without consent join the prohibited list.

NEWreported
2026-08-02
Rules of the game
AI Act: the main deadline

High-risk requirements and transparency obligations take effect. Fines reach €35M or 7% of global turnover.

2026-07-21
Cheap intelligence
Gemini 3.6 Flash

The new generation of fast, high-volume models.

NEWreported
2026-07-09
Cheap intelligence
GPT-5.6 Terra and Luna

Terra for everyday work at half the cost, Luna for speed and price.

NEWreported
2026-07-09
Autonomous agents
GPT-5.6 Sol

A flagship aimed at agentic work in code, biology and cybersecurity.

NEWreported
2026-07
Reasoning
AxiomProver: 42 out of 42

A multi-agent ensemble solved all six problems of IMO 2026 with formal Lean 4 proofs.

NEWreportedGitHub
2026-07
Cheap intelligence
Claude Sonnet 5

Long-run coding and tool use at $2 and $10 per million tokens through 31 Aug 2026.

NEWreported
2026-07
Cheap intelligence
Nemotron TwoTower

Open-weight diffusion LM: 2.42× throughput at 98.7% of baseline quality.

NEWreported
2026-07
Autonomous agents
Long tasks cross the threshold

Error recovery, state handling and verification turn agents into a repeatable process.

NEWreported
2026-07
Neural interfaces
26th patient

The programme moved from isolated cases to continuous enrolment.

NEWreported
2026-06
Long context
MiniMax M3

One-twentieth the compute per token, 9× prefill and 15× decode on million-token context.

NEWreported
2026-06
Cheap intelligence
Orion-100B

A 100B-parameter model trained at $1.25 per hour.

NEWreported
2026-06
World models
NVIDIA Cosmos 3

The first fully open physical-AI omnimodel: vision, world simulation and action generation in one architecture.

NEWreportedblog.google
2026-06
Gigawatts of power
565 TWh in a year

Global data-centre consumption climbs from 447 TWh in 2025 to 565 TWh in 2026 — up 26%.

NEWreportedGartner
2026-Q2
General-purpose robots
Optimus Gen 3 at Fremont

24/7 work on live tasks: battery module assembly, parts kitting, final-assembly assist. Tesla publishes no production figures of its own.

NEWreported
2026-06
General-purpose robots
Physical AI in one model

Cosmos 3 merges scene reasoning with action generation — a general policy instead of a script library.

NEWreported
2026-06
Rules of the game
US executive order on AI security

System security requirements move into enforcement.

NEWreported
2026-05
World models
Gemini Omni

Google I/O 2026 unveiled a model that creates video from any input.

reported
2026-05
Gigawatts of power
9.8 GW of nuclear deals

Every major hyperscaler has signed nuclear contracts: 13 projects, nearly ten gigawatts.

reportedSMR Intel
2026-04-26
World models
Sora app shut down

The standalone app closed and the API ends on 24 Sep 2026 — video generation folds into general models.

reportedOpenAI
2026-04
Autonomous agents
A2A 1.0

The agent-to-agent protocol reached a stable release with signed agent cards.

reported
2026-03
Next-generation silicon
Rubin in production

By GTC 2026 the platform grew to seven chips in production; partner availability lands in H2.

verifiedNVIDIA
2026-03
Logical qubits
94 logical qubits

Quantinuum on the H-series; several vendors now report 90–100 logical qubits.

reportedRiverlane
2026-03
Logical qubits
99.99% fidelity

IonQ and Silicon Quantum Computing lead the operation fidelity table.

reported
2026-02
Next-generation silicon
Meta MTIA v3

Third-generation in-house silicon enters broad data-centre deployment.

reported
2026-02
Gigawatts of power
Three Mile Island restart

Microsoft contracted 835 MW for 20 years, with restart expected in 2027.

reported
2026-01-29
World models
Project Genie

Playable generated worlds opened to some Google AI Ultra subscribers in the US.

reported
2026-01-28
Neural interfaces
21 implants across four countries

PRIME study participants in the US, UK, Canada and UAE; no serious device-related adverse events reported.

reported
2026-01-06
Next-generation silicon
NVIDIA Vera Rubin

Six new chips as one AI supercomputer: Vera CPU, Rubin GPU, NVLink 6, ConnectX-9, BlueField-4, Spectrum-6.

verifiedNVIDIA
2026
AI scientist
Erdős problems

Systems closed several open problems that deterred strong mathematicians — the first new verifiable result rather than a restatement.

reportedNature
2026
Verifiable reliability
Dangerous capability evals

Bio and cyber risk testing became a standard part of frontier releases rather than a goodwill gesture.

reported
2026
AGI
Timelines moved closer

Everyone who updated between January and April 2026 moved their estimate earlier.

reportedAI Futures
2026
AGI
The spread stays enormous

Researcher surveys put 50% probability near 2047; professional forecasters mass on 2027–2033.

2026
AGI
The academic objection

Stanford faculty insist there is no AGI in 2026 and call for evaluation over evangelism.

reported
2026
Engineering systems
Repo-scale context as default

Systems plan and test complete changes instead of completing lines.

reported
2026
Engineering systems
Agents inside CI

Triaging failed builds, fixing tests and bumping dependencies moved into the automated loop.

reported
2026
Autonomous laboratories
2.2M experiments per week

Autonomous labs compress the hypothesis cycle from months to days.

reported
2026
Autonomous laboratories
AI-discovered drugs in Phase II

Xaira, Generate Biomedicines and Isomorphic Labs moved from pipeline-filling to clinical candidates.

reported
2026
Neural interfaces
VOICE, CONVOY, Blindsight

Speech decoding, arm control and vision hold FDA breakthrough designations.

reported
2026
Next-generation silicon
TPU v6, Trainium3, Maia 2

Google, Amazon and Microsoft scale their own accelerators — NVIDIA's share under real pressure for the first time.

reported
2026
General-purpose robots
Figure: 10,000+ deployments

Figure and Agility hold the best-verified deployment records in partner warehouses.

reported
2026
Logical qubits
Below threshold

The Willow chip showed that more physical qubits mean exponentially fewer errors overall.

verifiedarXiv
2026
Logical qubits
Sub-microsecond decoding

Correction latency dropped below a microsecond — the precondition for real-time operation.

reported
2026
Logical qubits
qLDPC codes

Architectures are diverging: there is no single path to fault tolerance any more, each platform has its own.

reported
2025-12
Autonomous agents
MCP handed to a foundation

Anthropic donated the tool-connection protocol to the Agentic AI Foundation. Around 97M monthly SDK downloads and 9,400+ public servers — the de facto standard.

reported
2025
Reasoning
The road to olympiad gold

AlphaProof took IMO 2024 silver, Aristotle reached 2025 gold. Every system solving problems formally worked through Lean.

verifiedNature
2025
Open weights
DeepSeek-V3 and R1

Strong reasoning at a radically lower training cost.

verified
2025
Open weights
Qwen 3

A dense open family for every hardware budget.

verified
2025
Long context
Repository-scale context

Coding systems read the whole project.

verified
2024
Multimodality
Realtime voice

Conversation latency drops to human level.

verified
2024
Reasoning
o1

Chain of thought as a product, not a prompt trick.

verified
2024
Open weights
Llama 3.1 405B

The first open model comparable in scale to the closed frontier.

verified
2024
Long context
Gemini 1.5 Pro

A million tokens in production — a whole book or an hour of video fits inside.

verified
2024
Engineering systems
SWE-bench

The industry measure: the share of real issues from open repositories closed without a human.

verified
2024
Autonomous laboratories
AlphaFold 3

Predicting complexes rather than lone proteins: protein with DNA, ligand, ion.

verified
2024
Gigawatts of power
One and a half percent of the world

Data centres used about 1.5% of global electricity, with roughly 3% projected by 2030.

reportedIEA
2023
Multimodality
GPT-4V

Vision as a standard part of a frontier model.

verified
2023
Open weights
Mixtral 8×7B

Open-weight sparse mixture of experts: dense-model quality without dense-model cost.

verified
2023
Long context
Retrieval (RAG)

The workaround the industry lived on while context was short. Now a complement rather than a crutch.

verified
2022
Scaling laws
Chinchilla

Data beats size — every training budget gets rebuilt.

verified
2022
Scaling laws
Emergent abilities

Some skills appear in a jump past a scale threshold rather than growing smoothly.

verified
2022
Dialogue and human feedback
Constitutional AI

Training against a written set of principles instead of hand-labelling every answer.

verified
2022
Multimodality
Whisper

Speech recognition reaches the level where audio becomes an ordinary input.

verified
2022
Reasoning
Chain of thought

Asking the model to think step by step raised accuracy — the first hint that thinking at answer time pays.

verified
2022
Autonomous laboratories
200 million structures

The predicted-structure database closed a half-century folding problem and became shared infrastructure for biology.

verified
2021
Transformers
Mixture of experts

Sparse models: more parameters without a proportional compute increase.

verified
2021
Multimodality
CLIP

A shared space for text and images — the foundation all image generation grew on.

verified
2020
Transformers
Vision Transformer

The same architecture works on images — the transformer turns out to be universal.

verified
2020
Scaling laws
GPT-3, 175B

In-context learning: a couple of examples is enough.

verified
2020
Scaling laws
Kaplan scaling laws

The curves clusters have been planned against ever since.

verified
2019
Transformers
GPT-2

Coherent text generation stops being a toy.

verified
2018
Transformers
BERT

Language pre-training becomes the industry default.

verified
2017
Transformers
Attention Is All You Need

The paper that defined the next decade.

verified
2016
Deep learning
AlphaGo

Beats Lee Sedol: search plus reinforcement learning.

verified
2015
Deep learning
ResNet

Residual connections make hundred-layer networks trainable.

verified
2014
Deep learning
Adversarial networks

GANs: machines start convincingly generating, not just recognising.

verified
2012
Deep learning
AlexNet

ImageNet error collapses — the GPU training era begins.

verified
2009
Deep learning
ImageNet

14 million labelled images — the fuel without which AlexNet could not exist.

verified

Track the line as it moves

Once a week: which branches advanced, what unlocked, and what turned out to be overstated.