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Directions · PLANNING + TOOLS

Digital agents

In one viewA model used to answer a question. Now it gets assigned a job: it plans the steps, opens the tools it needs, fixes its own mistakes and comes back hours later with a result.

The main front of 2026. The reliability threshold for long tasks has finally started to give, and this is where autonomy first turns into money.

Status
TypeDirections
Marker
Events in dossier9
Development chronology

Researched

2025-12

MCP handed to a foundation

About this eventAnthropic donated the tool-connection protocol to the Agentic AI Foundation; its SDKs had passed 97M monthly downloads.

Donating MCP to a Linux Foundation fund separated the protocol from a single vendor and established it as a shared layer for tools and data. The standard does not make an agent reliable by itself, but it lowers integration cost and allows one tool to move between different models and applications.

Source: Anthropic
2026-07-09

GPT-5.6 Sol

About this eventA flagship aimed at agentic work in code, biology and cybersecurity.

NEWverifiedPermanent page
Source: OpenAI
2026-05-08

Long tasks cross the threshold

About this eventMETR measures a rising horizon for software tasks frontier agents complete at a given reliability; estimates beyond 16 hours remain uncertain.

Source: METR

In progress

сейчас

Computer use

About this eventThe agent works a mouse and keyboard where no API exists — the broadest and most fragile way to act.

NEWreportedPermanent page
Source: Anthropic
сейчас

40% of applications by year end

About this eventGartner's projection for enterprise applications containing task-specific agents.

NEWreportedPermanent page
Source: Gartner

Planned

в планах

Liability for actions

About this eventWho pays when an agent wires money to the wrong place. Without an answer, agents stay away from real accounts.

в планах

Teams of agents

About this eventSeveral specialised agents under one lead — works in demos, falls apart on long tasks.

Distant horizons

впереди

The agent as an employee

About this eventNot a tool inside someone's app but a participant with its own access, budget and reporting.

Sources and research

Primary material behind this dossier: papers, lab publications and official reports.

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